Bunny Hill
L1 0.5 taiwan s3018-119

A bill to permit visiting dignitaries and service members from Taiwan to display the flag of the Republic of China.

Why China-relevant: Operative 'shall' provisions require Secretaries of State and Defense to permit display of Taiwan's flag. Taiwan named directly in binding requirements. Tier=1.

Sponsor: Cruz, Ted (R-TX) · 4 cosponsors

Path to becoming law

  1. Introduced
  2. Passed committee next step
  3. Passed Senate
  4. Passed House
  5. Sent to President
  6. Became law

done next step still ahead

Legislative timeline — dated actions so far

  1. Filed
Stage: In committee

1% to become law · 10% to clear committee

For context: only ~2% of introduced bills ever become law, so every estimate starts near that baseline — the factors below show what moves this bill above or below the average bill.

  • + Unified government (sponsor's party controls House, Senate, and White House)
  • + Sponsor's party controls both chambers
  • − No cross-party cosponsors
  • − No companion bill in the other chamber

Legislative likelihood — a tracking indicator, not investment advice.

Signals — secondary, directional

PRC retaliation risk medium Hawkishness 4

Directional context (see Methodology); the pinned, high-confidence axes are relevance and asset impact.

Shares that might be influenced

Each sector shows a direction (which way its China-related names are pushed) and, for precise mappings, how hard this bill hits the sector — rated marginal → very strong (1–5). Hover any chip for its definition. The headline 0–5 impact is at the top of the card.

Defense / Taiwan positive modest (2/5) precise 6 names

Sector impact identified

Top 6 of 6 by market cap

Ticker Name (Local) Name (EN) Restriction Lists
2330.TW TSMC
BA Boeing
GD General Dynamics
LMT Lockheed Martin
NOC Northrop Grumman
RTX RTX Corp