Bunny Hill
L1 2.0 security hr4366-118

Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2024 (MilCon-VA minibus)

Why China-relevant: [Consolidated Appropriations Act 2024 omnibus; full on-disk text scanned] contains provisions naming the People's Republic of China, Chinese military companies (section 1260H), Taiwan, and Uyghur forced labor across its divisions

Sponsor: Carter, John R. (R-TX) · 0 cosponsors

Path to becoming law

  1. Introduced
  2. Passed committee
  3. Passed House
  4. Passed Senate
  5. Sent to President
  6. Became law

done next step still ahead

Legislative timeline — dated actions so far

  1. Filed
  2. Passed chamber (vote) [house]
  3. Passed chamber (vote) [senate]
  4. Sent to President
  5. Passed chamber (vote) [senate]
  6. Became law
Stage: Became law

Resolved. Model had estimated 21% to become law

  • + Is/rides a must-pass vehicle (NDAA or appropriations)
  • − No cosponsors
  • − No companion bill in the other chamber
  • − Sponsor's party does not control both chambers

Legislative likelihood — a tracking indicator, not investment advice.

Signals — secondary, directional

PRC retaliation risk medium Hawkishness 4

Directional context (see Methodology); the pinned, high-confidence axes are relevance and asset impact.

Shares that might be influenced

Each sector shows a direction (which way its China-related names are pushed) and, for precise mappings, how hard this bill hits the sector — rated marginal → very strong (1–5). Hover any chip for its definition. The headline 0–5 impact is at the top of the card.

China Defense & Aerospace negative coarse 77 names

Sector-level estimate — mapped by policy area, not from this bill's specific text.

Top 10 of 77 by market cap Full roster · Premium

Ticker Name (Local) Name (EN) Restriction Lists
600150.SS 中国船舶 CSSC Holdings
302132.SZ 中航成飞 AVIC CAC 1260H
603268.SS 松发股份 SONGFA
600760.SS 中航沈飞 AVIC SAC 1260HNS-CMIC
600893.SS 航发动力 AECC AP NS-CMIC
600118.SS 中国卫星 China Spacesat 1260HNS-CMIC
002625.SZ 光启技术 KCT
600482.SS 中国动力 CSICPCL NS-CMIC
600879.SS 航天电子 CATEC NS-CMIC
000768.SZ 中航西飞 AVIC XAC 1260HNS-CMIC
+67 more
Defense / Taiwan positive coarse 6 names

Sector-level estimate — mapped by policy area, not from this bill's specific text.

Top 6 of 6 by market cap

Ticker Name (Local) Name (EN) Restriction Lists
2330.TW TSMC
BA Boeing
GD General Dynamics
LMT Lockheed Martin
NOC Northrop Grumman
RTX RTX Corp