Bunny Hill
L1 1.0 agriculture hr1507-119

U.S. Citrus Protection Act

Why China-relevant: U.S. Citrus Protection Act explicitly names the People's Republic of China in the operative provision: 'To prohibit importation of commercially produced fresh citrus fruit originating from the People's Republic of China.' PRC directly named as the targeted exporter. Both Tier 1 models classified Tier 1.

Sponsor: Steube, W. Gregory (R-FL) · 4 cosponsors

Path to becoming law

  1. Introduced
  2. Passed committee next step
  3. Passed House
  4. Passed Senate
  5. Sent to President
  6. Became law

done next step still ahead

Legislative timeline — dated actions so far

  1. Filed
Stage: In committee

1% to become law · 11% to clear committee

For context: only ~2% of introduced bills ever become law, so every estimate starts near that baseline — the factors below show what moves this bill above or below the average bill.

  • + Unified government (sponsor's party controls House, Senate, and White House)
  • + Sponsor's party controls both chambers
  • − No cross-party cosponsors
  • − No companion bill in the other chamber

Legislative likelihood — a tracking indicator, not investment advice.

Signals — secondary, directional

PRC retaliation risk medium Hawkishness 2

Directional context (see Methodology); the pinned, high-confidence axes are relevance and asset impact.

Shares that might be influenced

Each sector shows a direction (which way its China-related names are pushed) and, for precise mappings, how hard this bill hits the sector — rated marginal → very strong (1–5). Hover any chip for its definition. The headline 0–5 impact is at the top of the card.

Agriculture positive modest (2/5) precise 106 names

Prohibition on Chinese citrus imports directly benefits US citrus producers in Florida, California, and other states competing against subsidized Chinese citrus.

Top 10 of 106 by market cap Full roster · Premium

Ticker Name (Local) Name (EN) Restriction Lists
002714.SZ 牧原股份 MUYUAN
300999.SZ 金龙鱼 ARAWANA
300498.SZ 温氏股份 WENS
002311.SZ 海大集团 HAID GROUP
000876.SZ 新 希 望 NEW HOPE
600299.SS 安迪苏 Adisseo
002157.SZ 正邦科技 ZHENGBANG TECH
600737.SS 中粮糖业 COFCO SUGAR
600873.SS 梅花生物 MEIHUA BIO
601118.SS 海南橡胶 HAINAN RUBBER GROUP
+96 more